CapnJoe45 wrote:After reading the procedures finally posted on JRS, I still don't understand what they are trying to do. Why have different tiers of tickets if people signing up for the top tiers will still be in the lottery for all tiers? Am I reading this wrong or am I just too dense to understand what is happening?
They feel the need to take the one-day load off, both for what happened last year and with the sell-out they anticipate it being worse this year. So they head THAT problem off at the pass with "the lottery". This introduces a few anomalies, like the one you've identified. Only, how many people would opt to only go for top tiers when they need all the chances they can get to try to ensure they get ANY ticket so they can go. I spelled out one way to handle the option, but with all they have to work out to maximize that they can actually process the lottery entries, it's not likely to get added this year.
Rather than fix the capacity of the existing system, they're rolling the dice on this lottery. (Can't say I understand fully why they think this is truly a better idea.) We'll all go for the ride and get to see what happens. Well, those of us with computer access and a credit-card, prepaid or regular, get to go for the ride. Or you can take wait and take your chances getting a ticket during the First-come-first-served that follows the lotteries, along with everyone that didn't win a ticket in the lotteries.
Another thing that falls through the cracks: a family of three or more will need multiple credit cards to have enough entries just to
try to get enough tickets for the whole family to attend. At least with the 2011 sellout they should have ample buyers to sell what tickets they do get if they don't get enough for the whole family to go.
Then again, maybe enough people won't trust the lottery enough to enter such that everyone in the lotteries gets a win and the outstanding tickets will sell later at the FCFS.
Who knows?
They get a first try at it with the pre-sales at the highest tier, so they get to work out bugs in their system with live data, and can fix or adjust as that run suggests. There may be an unforeseen disaster, which would allow them to adjust things for the main lottery.
Who knows. Welcome to the 2012 BM Exclusion Lottery.