There might be desire for that many tickets, but the way the ticketing system works creates extra ticket demand in itself because of the rules and I was just wondering how much that accounts for this potential desire for 135,000 tickets. I was wondering if someone had a realistic idea. Maybe no one does.Eric wrote:Again, you're taking facts and speculating, and now you're speculating on something that simply isn't going to happen ("infinite" tickets). The tickets aren't infinite - they are a finite item, full stop. They have been a finite item since 2011, they will be a finite item from here on out (they were finite before 2011, we just never crossed that threshold). Their quantity is set by the BLM in the contract Burning Man operates under - BLM says how many people can be on playa, that number determines the numbers of tickets. You can make all the idle speculation you want on the lines of "what would happen if we could float BRC in the clouds", but that doesn't make it reality.melomel wrote:Those are facts, but they aren't really the full story. How many of those potential "ticket desires" actually translate to people that would show up at the event this year if the ticket supply was infinite?
It's really, really simple: more people want to go than the number of tickets that exist. If you removed every person who bought tickets "on spec" or fell into one of your categories there would still be more people that want to go than there are tickets. If the Waiting Room had worked flawlessly, there would still be more people who wanted tickets than there are tickets to sell. There is simply more demand than there is supply. It sucks, but that's why they are selling out. We have gone through this every year since 2011, it is the new reality. I don't like it anymore than anyone else (I have plenty of friends who didn't get tickets either), but I understand the reason.
I don't think the ticket demand is the same as "actually will/would show up this year if I could get my hand on a ticket" demand.
I don't know if everyone would have bought 1.87 tickets if everyone that was in the line for the sale could have bought what they wanted. I think there's a good chance it would have been less based on the prior knowledge. I do not personally know how much less & didn't know if anyone had any data that would help give a better idea.