Politics, Everyday, All day... morning, noon and night....II

[Token]

1A99D228-2EEA-4419-B5D7-D4A2D8EA4380.jpeg

Harry did have to die in order to win …

[Canoe]

Kherson diary: ‘The poultry all had to be slaughtered. Now the city smells of chicken soup’
A first-hand account of the Russian occupation of the city by two female journalists

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/ ... icken-soup

Shaky footage in Ukraine shows this is a tale of two ways of waging war: stealth versus brute force

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/ ... rute-force

Ukraine reveals ‘Russian warship, go fuck yourself!’ postage stamp
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/ ... tage-stamp

Ukraine still has some heavy hitters in the game. Or were these captured.
https://twitter.com/Vitaliy23404583/sta ... 2778577927

A corridor in one of evacuation trains in #Ukraine from Poltava to Lviv. 17 hours on a train with all windows closed so that no light escapes and the train doesn’t become a target.

In Kharkiv, many are even forced to leave their suitcases and pets on the platform.

https://twitter.com/DariaSipigina/statu ... 3838978048

Hostomel, #Kyiv region, #Ukraine. Emergency service worker hands a wounded child to a medic. ‘The most critical one’, he says.

Since the beginning of war 15 days ago, thousands of civilians have already been killed by russians.
https://twitter.com/DariaSipigina/statu ... 4804561926

The Russian space agency head continues to vaguely threaten the destruction of the ISS
“Roscosmos sends written appeals to NASA, Canadian Space Agency and ESA to lift illegal sanctions on our ISS contractors”
Under that is an image of the parts of Russia overflown by the ISS
[Edit: and all parts of the world that is overflown...]
https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/stat ... 6880448517

* Largest Hypermarket Chain In Russia's Far East Imposes Limits Amid Buying Frenzy

[Canoe]

The Russian Embassy in Lisbon. Two neighbouring houses are projecting the blue and yellow onto its facade. The ambassador is reportedly “apoplectic”.

https://twitter.com/RogerMiles/status/1 ... 2101046275

* Now cut off the water supply, electricity, phone lines and food call it routine maintenance. Then hand post a letter telling the ambassador its akin to living in a bombed out city.
* light source: truck https://twitter.com/IsPutinDeadYet/stat ... 1276119040

Entrance to the Russian embassy in south Dublin after the gates are damaged by protesters... It's the standard Garda car colour scheme that tickles me.
https://twitter.com/SKirkhamcardio/stat ... 1890168838

Polish truck drivers dump coal in front of the Russian embassy in Warsaw. Signs say Russian coal, go fuck yourselves

[cops rush to stop him, until they realize he's not ramming the gates]

https://twitter.com/ItsTheNewSouth/stat ... 6616842245

Anonymous Russian burns down a local conscription office.

https://twitter.com/ItsTheNewSouth/stat ... 2186465281

[Simon of the Playa]

A Very Deep Dive

[Canoe]

Russia's negotiator Slutsky says there's been "significant progress in the negotiations" and he expects there may be a signed deal in the next 2 to 3 days.

This is a notable development in light of the growing awareness at the Kremlin of the decrepit state of the RU army & the blunders of the pre-invasion intel. If confirmed by UA side, this would likely mean a truce on Zelenskys' terms.

https://twitter.com/christogrozev/statu ... 4911325185

* Hmmm. Putin agreed to that? Or as usual they talk without really knowing what is Putin doing or planning to do.
* Too good to be true
* This doesn't tally with the continued targeting of civilians or the tenor of Russian propaganda [or does it...]
* Hope. Disillusionment. Hope. Disillusionment. Hope. Disillusionment. Hope. Disillusionment. Russian psychological tactics.
* impossible. it is just a smoke screen, russians are already amassing new forces for a new attack, there is 0 chance that there will be any kind of truce from putin
* So there will be a massive attack by russia in the next few days.
* For Russia ceasefire is only a tool to conduct this war, their forces are disorganized and they need time to rebuild and resupply without enemy harassment. Russia is not going to withdraw.
* In 2-3 days new fresh troops are available and in positions…….idk why ppl still trust in any Russian words

Con to that: Russia continues consolidating areas. Has widened its attacks across Ukraine.

The parents of these children were killed by the Russian occupiers.

[looks like a gathering for the video, not a 'necessary event']
[child on floor has already started rocking forward & backward]

https://twitter.com/Vitaliy23404583/sta ... 6907829249

[Canoe]

Short report regarding food supplies in Kyiv. The situation in my local store is good. Plenty of everything one needs to get by. Huge delivery of bottled water had just come in. No more photos though, security enlightened me that the photo ban also includes the inside of stores.

https://twitter.com/andersostlund/statu ... 0112315395

SBU: Intercepted phone calls shows that Russian troops near Kharkiv were ordered to shoot at civilians, including children.

https://twitter.com/KyivIndependent/sta ... 0328996869

I think they're talking about this one
https://twitter.com/ServiceSsu/status/1 ... 2571198467

https://twitter.com/robynrevolution/sta ... 9582023686

There were about 2000 militiamen from LNR.. About 20, 25 left of those. Now they're sending them from DNR
- Why not hit them all at once ?
- They can't. Lots of civilians.. They couldnt until now. Now they say shoot them all, children or not children, shoot them all.. We're in some town now, some plant with old machines... And this building, we have a sniper there, so this sniper just shot three people who were pointing with a flashlight at us. Then he went down, recharged, had a chat with us and said now we can sleep..

https://www.reddit.com/r/ukraine/commen ... t/i0dkoyg/

* That seems like a short translation for a two minute conversation?

* I heard a phone call, which, if legit (big if), is one of the worst things ever heard; RU solider on the phone with his gf comfortably at home: "They ordered me to shoot at civilian women and children; what do I do?" - "You shoot them, they're scum"

“I don’t know how it ends, but I think the person who is most surprised that it is still going on is probably Vladimir Putin,” Hillary Clinton says.

Those who claim the #UkraineInvasion is the fault of the West have no understanding of history, or of Putin, for that matter. Since the USSR dissolved, Putin's dream has been to revive the old Empire. Who else would invade and kill "their own people"?

As I wrote in my piece this week, we were anticipating such developments — they follow Russian Crimean playbook.
https://www.economist.com/europe/ordina ... e/21808101
https://twitter.com/olliecarroll/status ... 0133337091

Unauthorised public protest against the #UkraineInvasion has been banned in #Russia _
So these #artists are practicing their painting in public in #StPetersburg
........................................ ........................................
https://twitter.com/inputforcolor/statu ... 0466028546

[some seeing eye]

Smaller-scale tactical nuclear weapons could bring the great powers into a brutal, deadly, and unprecedented conflict.

https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archi ... nt/627040/

[Canoe]

Smaller-scale tactical nuclear weapons could bring the great powers into a brutal, deadly, and unprecedented conflict.

https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archi ... nt/627040/

In the '70s, they were key to the defence of Europe from Soviet tank columns - tac nuke the kill basin.
Life expectancy of light military aircraft was 24 to 48 hours.

[Canoe]

Russia's negotiator Slutsky says there's been "significant progress in the negotiations" and he expects there may be a signed deal in the next 2 to 3 days.

The more I think about this, the worse of a feeling I get. As is clear since he arrested the FSB general(s), he is no longer in denial of the failure of his Ukrane plan, thus we can either withdraw or go out with a bang. But there's no workable compromise that Ukraine can agree to that will not result in Putin being disgraced domestically. So what's the mythical agreement RU says they are close to? Sounds implausible.

Hoping for the best, but the "two or three days till agreement" that RU introduced into the equation sounds more and more like a threat.

https://twitter.com/christogrozev/statu ... 7642821638

WASHINGTON — Russia asked China to give it military equipment and support for the war in Ukraine after President Vladimir V. Putin began a full-scale invasion last month, according to U.S. officials.

Russia has also asked China for additional economic assistance, to help counteract the battering its economy has taken from broad sanctions imposed by the United States and European and Asian nations, according to an official.

American officials, determined to keep secret their means of collecting the intelligence on Russia’s requests, declined to describe further the kind of military weapons or aid that Moscow is seeking. The officials also declined to discuss any reaction by China to the requests.

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/03/13/us/p ... raine.html

[one source pointed out that we don't know when the request for military equipment was made, only that it was made after the invasion began]

[Canoe]

[The following had people arguing about the details that they'd found out (rating of bridge, ditch vs. mud, etc.), so some basis as an actual event?]

Ukrainian villagers use Ukrainian flags, end up taking out four Russian tanks.

• Four Russian tanks enter a Ukrainian village. Villagers watch carefully from distance. Russians transfer fuel from two of the tanks to the other two, get onto those two and leave the two dry tanks in the village.
• Villagers plant Ukrainian flags on the two remaining dry tanks.
• The other two tanks return, see tanks with Ukrainian flags and open fire, destroying them completely. Keep driving around looking for their other two tanks.
• One of the tanks drives onto a bridge. The bridge collapses, tank falls into river, everyone inside dies.
• The remaining tank keeps driving around, gets lost and finally gets stuck in a ditch. Russians get out of it and walk away.

Engagement losses:
* Ukrainians - some flags.
* Russians - four tanks and at least one tank crew.

p.s.
Word going around that with the weapons donated & delivered to Ukraine, and subsequent distribution, now in most areas nearly every Ukrainian soldier has an anti-tank or anti-tank/low-level-aircraft missle.

[Token]

Smaller-scale tactical nuclear weapons could bring the great powers into a brutal, deadly, and unprecedented conflict.

https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archi ... nt/627040/

A bit gloomy there …

If the article holds water, we lost already.

The choices seem to be:

Send 20K fly boys, anti air and special forces, do the no-fly zone and push the fucker to see what he does right now …

Or do nothing and …

Send 500K later when he uses the same move over and over.

Grandpa Joe is in a real pickle.

At least we can start making more of them small tactical nukes like right quick.

[Canoe]

Tell me you're not in Russia without telling me you're not in Russia.

Morgenshtern, Russia's biggest rapper, has released an anti-war music video. It ends with a voice message from his Ukrainian producer's mother talking about surviving life under Russian airstrikes.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lX0TPbCSAbM
"Ruble is done only dollars and euros"

Well dear son, well yes, here, right here, in the morning the roof was almost blown away. We thought about running somewhere and then returned to our place. Right now we are sitting in the cellar and have prepared a bomb shelter for ourselves, so well, oh baby, don't worry.

https://twitter.com/maxseddon/status/15 ... 1670532096

Manizha, the alternative-pop singer who was Russia's 2021 Eurovision Song Contest entrant, has also just released a song called Soldier whose chorus implores "Stop The War!"

Today, each one of us is a soldier. Each has their own fight – for life, for truth, for freedom, for safety.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hZD314_WrC0

[Canoe]

Smaller-scale tactical nuclear weapons could bring the great powers into a brutal, deadly, and unprecedented conflict.

https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archi ... nt/627040/

A bit gloomy there …
If the article holds water, we lost already. ...

Possibly this...

Sergej Sumlenny @sumlenny
On Russian state TV they are saying: "there is not sense to stop on Ukraine, we move further" and "we will launch (our missiles), the whole world will be ruined". Those who stupidly believe we are not in the WWIII already, and try to "de-escalate" are either idiots or criminals.

InformNapalm #InformNapalm
Russian propagandists are discussing plans to take over all of Europe. 'We shouldn't stop in Ukraine, we should move on.'

[Simon of the Playa]

David Corn of Mother Jones today broke another news story: a Russian government agency distributed a 12-page document to media outlets telling them, “It is essential to use as much as possible fragments of broadcasts of the popular Fox News host Tucker Carlson, who sharply criticizes the actions of the United States [and] NATO, their negative role in unleashing the conflict in Ukraine, [and] the defiantly provocative behavior from the leadership of the Western countries and NATO towards the Russian Federation and towards President Putin, personally….”

The call to feature Carlson is in the section titled “Victory in Information War.”



https://heathercoxrichardson.substack.c ... ch-13-2022

[Canoe]

"The United States is training migratory birds to migrate from Ukraine to Russia and distribute bacteriological weapons."
-- Russian Defense Ministry

"Remember that Zelensky a thug. Remember that the Ukrainian government is incredibly corrupt and is incredibly evil and has been pushing woke ideologies."
-- Rep. Madison Cawthorn

"The safety of civilians is the priority of our armed forces."
-- Russian state TV

"We are not planning to attack other countries. We didn't attack Ukraine in the first place."
-- Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov

"Do you think Americans care about f***ing Ukraine?"
-- Trump's Sec. of State Mike Pompeo, two years ago

"Fake news."
-- Putin, on invasion reports

"[Russia] will strive for the demilitarization and denazification of Ukraine."
-- Putin

"What [Russia] is doing in [Ukraine] is slaughtering innocent children, women, and men for its own gain. It's definitely not 'fighting Nazism.' Shame on anyone who's falling for this. (Sadly, we're kinda experts on Nazism.)"
-- statement by German embassy in South Africa

"Maybe NATO will dissolve, and that's OK, not the worst thing in the world."
-- Trump, July 2017

"In a second Trump term, I think he may well have withdrawn from NATO. And I think Putin was waiting for that."
-- John Bolton, Trump National Security Adviser

"The way the battle is going shows we are fighting neo-Nazis."
-- Putin

"[Reports of] ongoing air strikes of Kyiv and other large cities are gross propaganda."
-- Putin to German Chancellor Olaf Scholz

[Canoe]

[Flightradar24 has showed several private jets (12+) moved freely from St. Petersberg Russia to Israel.

Finally,]

BREAKING: Israel announces publicly for the first time it will comply with the international sanctions against Russia. FM Lapid says "Israel won't be used as a means to bypass the sanctions on Russia"

.
.

Video of a Russian strike on Kyiv.

https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1503328469647773697

Parts of a Russian missile shot down in Kyiv hit a residential building and a trolley bus on Kyrylivska Street.

One person reportedly has been killed.

https://twitter.com/KyivIndependent/sta ... 0905594880

[* Saw reports that uncensored images resulted in a strike on Ukrainian forces.
* Another source said to never post an image showing where you are, while you're still there. Only post after you're well out of that area; that may still dox you or others there. Consider if the image needs censoring or if it shouldn't be posted due to information that it reveals.
* Censoring image detail requested by Ukrainian 'security' authorities.
* Here's an example of a censored image with its background blurred so the location can't be accurately determined.]

https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1503305209656848384

[After strikes]
The Obolonglya residential district of Kyiv this morning. One civilian dead and 10 wounded, but more feared under the rubble. Fortunately sirens had forced residents into the shelters.

https://twitter.com/christogrozev/statu ... 2136965120

UAV footage of Mariupol.
https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1503291963910541314

Snigirevka, Mikolaiv.
https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1503251385906782208

AP images of a pregnant woman being rushed to an ambulance after Russia bombed a maternity hospital in Mariupol where she was meant to give birth shocked the world. @AP has learned that the woman and her baby have died.

https://twitter.com/AP/status/1503251299999133700

Lots of US and NATO flights this morning, surveillance, tankers & others, over Poland, Romania and even out over the Black Sea.

[Canoe]

AP images of a pregnant woman being rushed to an ambulance after Russia bombed a maternity hospital in Mariupol where she was meant to give birth shocked the world. @AP has learned that the woman and her baby have died.

https://twitter.com/AP/status/1503251299999133700

After the place where she was meant to give birth was attacked, she was taken to another hospital.

Her baby was born by Caesarean section, but showed no signs of life. The surgeon, Timur Marin, told the Associated Press news agency that the woman's pelvis had been crushed and her hip detached. Medics said that as they were trying to save her life, she realised she was losing her baby and shouted, "Kill me now!"

When it became clear to them that the child was stillborn, they tried to resuscitate the mother, but realised after 30 minutes that it was hopeless. Doctors said they did not have time to take the woman's name before her husband and father came to retrieve her body.

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-60734706

* B-52 flying up in Norway
* The Cold Response NATO training exercises began today in Norway - 30,000 troops, 200 aircraft and 50 ships from 27 NATO countries.
* I've been watching 2 of them [B52] operate in the area of the Ukraine [i.e., Poland, Romania] for a few weeks now. It makes me chuckle because they could turn off their transponder, but they don't. Just so everyone knows they are there.
* Another 'listening' plane flying the border between Romania and Ukraine & Moldova.
* A lot of patrols seen along the east cost of England.
* In the past week (two?), settling down some in the past few days, there has been a large increase in commercial planes flying in/out of Russia declaring an emergency and "swaking" 7700. Declaring an emergency allows the pilot-in-command of the aircraft to do whatever he/she deems necessary to keep the aircraft safe, including 'go wherever & landing wherever they deem safe'.

[Canoe]

[Russians digging in the tanks they're abandoning so that the Ukrainian John Deer forces can't take them for their farms?]
[Five Russian tanks 'captured']
https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/stat ... 9065508865

[BMW convertible pimped ride - fighting invasion style.]
https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/stat ... 4980348934

The Russian army lost an "Orlan-10" reconnaissance UAV. Based on the fact that it managed to land in #Romania, there was a guidance failure.
https://twitter.com/UAWeapons/status/15 ... 3570960390
[That's quite a ways from Russian troops in Ukraine. More likely it went down while being flown in Romania intentionally. A recent one went down in Poland.]

Russia now has 100 percent of the forces it assembled prior to invading committed to the fight. It has under 90 percent of those forces available to them, after taking losses, senior U.S. defense official says.

Russia deployed 75% of its permanent readiness ground forces to Ukraine, so this would mean it has lost ~6-7% of its total. Keep in mind that much of these losses have been sustained by Russia's elite forces: VDV, spetsnaz, 1st Tank Army, etc. That will take time to reconstitute.

Not to mention, Russia has struggled to meet its targets for contract servicemen in the Russian military. It is losing many of them here and of course there will be a question as to whether future conscripts decide to continue their service after watching this war.

https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1503432571006369802
* Add 8 generals fired and 3 killed in action, this reorganization is going to take some time!

Odd the way events cascade politically.

Sinn Féin has deleted thousands of media statements that go back nearly two decades from its website in recent days, the Sunday Independent can reveal.

The purging of thousands of comments by party representatives, including leader Mary Lou McDonald and her predecessor Gerry Adams from its official website, comes amid controversy over Sinn Féin’s previous positions on Russia and its calls for the abolition of Nato.

https://www.independent.ie/irish-news/n ... 40873.html

I wonder if Russia's request to China for military equipment includes replacement tires for all of the Chinese ones that shredded in the first days of the invasion. So sorry, but with all of the destruction of cell towers, we couldn't reach you to extend your warranty.
Wonder if they'd realize that they'd be replacing them with more of the same.

[The Rod]

Elon might be shithead but this is pretty good

IMG_3470.jpg

Translation: "I hereby challenge Vladimir Putin to single combat. Stakes are Ukraine"

[art walsh]

I see someone is proposing a $300/month gas voucher.

Since the average car uses about 40gal/month, at $5/gal the average cost is $200.
If the increase per gal under Biden has been $1.50, the increase per month for the average car owner is $60.
So give then $300.
Another case of take my tax money and give it to someone else.

[Canoe]

June 2008: barrel of oil was $126, and a gallon of gas was $4.11.

Now in March 2022: a barrel of oil is $106, and a gallon of gas is $6.02.

"Do you understand we are being robbed in front of our eyes?

[Canoe]

Currently in the costody of the police...

Maria Ovsyannikova, an editor at the popular Russian state-owned television station Channel One, charged onto its nightly news broadcast Monday to protest the invasion of Ukraine

https://twitter.com/NYMag/status/1503475204202319874

https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2022/03 ... -news.html


“No War. Stop the war! Don’t believe the propaganda! They’re lying to you here! Russians against war.” During the few seconds before the broadcast cut away, Ovsyannikova repeated the words, “No to war! Stop the war!” She was promptly arrested. The authorities say she will face misdemeanor charges for violating Russia’s new ban on “disinformation” about the invasion of Ukraine.
https://twitter.com/christogrozev/statu ... 1014537222

In a prerecorded message shared on social media after the live-television incident,
https://twitter.com/christogrozev/statu ... 0918428673
Ovsyannikova made the following remarks:

“What is happening in Ukraine is a crime. And Russia is the aggressor here. And responsibility for this aggression rests on the conscience of a single man: Vladimir Putin. My father is Ukrainian. My mother is Russian. And they’ve never been enemies. And this necklace I’m wearing is a symbol of that fact that Russia must immediately end this fratricidal war. And our fraternal peoples will still be able to make peace. Unfortunately, I’ve spent many of the last few years working for Channel One, doing Kremlin propaganda, and I’m deeply ashamed of this. Ashamed that I allowed lies to come from the TV screen. Ashamed that I allowed the zombification of Russian people. We were silent in 2014 when all this had just started. We didn’t protest when the Kremlin poisoned Navalny. We just silently watched this anti-human regime at work. And now the whole world has turned its back on us. And the next 10 generations won’t wash away the stain of this fratricidal war. We Russians are thinking and intelligent people. It’s in our power alone to stop all this madness. Go protest. Don’t be afraid of anything. They can’t lock us all away.”

https://meduza.io/en/short/2022/03/14/r ... ar-message

[Canoe]

apparently a gift to patrolling forces from "Mayor Kim from Mykoliav, Ukraine"

[BMW convertible pimped ride - fighting invasion style.]
https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/stat ... 4980348934

another

We've all seen abandoned or destroyed Russian vehicles with the heavy machine guns quite obviously removed.

Well, here's the answer to where they go: a Ukrainian TDF technical with a newly acquired 6P17 tank-mount NSV HMG in #Poltava.

https://twitter.com/UAWeapons/status/15 ... 4254144516

US told allies that Russia requested 5 types of military gear from China, including #SurfaceToAirMissiles. Also #drones, armored vehicles, logistics vehicles & intelligence-related equipment. US did not provide underlying intelligence in cables to allies.

https://twitter.com/Dimi/status/1503484449987743746

[some seeing eye]

Smaller-scale tactical nuclear weapons could bring the great powers into a brutal, deadly, and unprecedented conflict.

https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archi ... nt/627040/

A bit gloomy there …

If the article holds water, we lost already.

The choices seem to be:

Send 20K fly boys, anti air and special forces, do the no-fly zone and push the fucker to see what he does right now …

Or do nothing and …

Send 500K later when he uses the same move over and over.

Grandpa Joe is in a real pickle.

At least we can start making more of them small tactical nukes like right quick.

This gentleman has studied many of the what-ifs.

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfr ... ajectories

Maybe Putin will stop at the Dnieper and we will have an East and West Ukraine, with perhaps a guerilla war in East Ukraine. I think Putin will take over the entire Black Sea frontage of Ukraine. Moldova is not defended by NATO, but taking that will really piss off Romania who is connected to Moldova. Finland is not something that should fall into Russian hands, and they have a lot of technology expertise. Hopefully China will veto any Russian moves on Kazakhstan. It is all somewhat academic, Russia does not have enough military to occupy a large amount of hostile land. Sadly we could see mine warfare come back in a big way. They used it in Afghanistan.

[Token]

Smaller-scale tactical nuclear weapons could bring the great powers into a brutal, deadly, and unprecedented conflict.

https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archi ... nt/627040/

A bit gloomy there …
If the article holds water, we lost already. ...

Possibly this...

Sergej Sumlenny @sumlenny
On Russian state TV they are saying: "there is not sense to stop on Ukraine, we move further" and "we will launch (our missiles), the whole world will be ruined". Those who stupidly believe we are not in the WWIII already, and try to "de-escalate" are either idiots or criminals.

InformNapalm #InformNapalm
Russian propagandists are discussing plans to take over all of Europe. 'We shouldn't stop in Ukraine, we should move on.'

The useful idiot is always the last one to attain enlightenment of his stature.

It’s playing out real-time and real-life.

[Token]

Smaller-scale tactical nuclear weapons could bring the great powers into a brutal, deadly, and unprecedented conflict.

https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archi ... nt/627040/

A bit gloomy there …

If the article holds water, we lost already.

The choices seem to be:

Send 20K fly boys, anti air and special forces, do the no-fly zone and push the fucker to see what he does right now …

Or do nothing and …

Send 500K later when he uses the same move over and over.

Grandpa Joe is in a real pickle.

At least we can start making more of them small tactical nukes like right quick.

This gentleman has studied many of the what-ifs.

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfr ... ajectories

Maybe Putin will stop at the Dnieper and we will have an East and West Ukraine, with perhaps a guerilla war in East Ukraine. I think Putin will take over the entire Black Sea frontage of Ukraine. Moldova is not defended by NATO, but taking that will really piss off Romania who is connected to Moldova. Finland is not something that should fall into Russian hands, and they have a lot of technology expertise. Hopefully China will veto any Russian moves on Kazakhstan. It is all somewhat academic, Russia does not have enough military to occupy a large amount of hostile land. Sadly we could see mine warfare come back in a big way. They used it in Afghanistan.

Oh, I don’t take all the learned wargamers and academics seriously on this one.

They have some merit on tactics and details, a pleasant exercise for sure, but they absolutely fail when one of the sides is no longer “reasonable”.

Breaking News: One of the sides is no longer reasonable!

I’d much rather listen to Gary Kasparov who has lived the insanity of the Soviet Union and understands the generational psyche of the Russian experience.

There’s a century of damage and oppression done to a people that we simply can’t comprehend.

[Simon of the Playa]

A tape today revealed that Cawthorn called into a right-wing talk show on January 6th and said he had brought “multiple weapons” with him that day, suggesting he had known what was planned. Also today, Ginni Thomas, the wife of Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas, appeared to be trying to get ahead of a story about her participation in the events of January 6 when she told her story to the right-wing Free Beacon. It reported: “She did not help organize the White House rally that preceded the riot at the Capitol. She did attend the rally, but got cold and left early. And most importantly, in her view, her involvement with the event has no bearing on the work of her husband, Supreme Court justice Clarence Thomas.”

https://heathercoxrichardson.substack.c ... ch-14-2022

[Simon of the Playa]

The memorandum prohibited the Russian Federation, the United Kingdom and the United States from threatening or using military force or economic coercion against Ukraine, Belarus, and Kazakhstan. As a result of other agreements and the memorandum, between 1993 and 1996, Belarus, Kazakhstan and Ukraine gave up their nuclear weapons.[2]

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Budapest_ ... Assurances

[Token]

Balls.

Them guys got balls, balls of steel!

The prime ministers of Poland, Slovenia and the Czech Republic are traveling to Kyiv to meet Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky.

.

[Canoe]

... Also today, Ginni Thomas, the wife of Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas, appeared to be trying to get ahead of a story about her participation in the events of January 6 when she told her story to the right-wing Free Beacon. It reported: “She did not help organize the White House rally that preceded the riot at the Capitol. She did attend the rally, but got cold and left early. And most importantly, in her view, her involvement with the event has no bearing on the work of her husband, Supreme Court justice Clarence Thomas.”

Federal law requires justices to recuse themselves from any proceeding in which their “impartiality might reasonably be questioned.” It also compels justices to recuse if their spouse has “an interest that could be substantially affected by the outcome” of the case. Right now, the Supreme Court doesn’t have an enforcement mechanism or procedure for recusal–it’s left up to the judge to determine that.

So, when the Court approved the house committee to obtain documents from the Trump White House and Judge Thomas was the only dissenting opinion, it makes you think, doesn’t it?

https://www.theroot.com/clarence-thomas ... 1848651191