4 Years before we disintegrate?

[1durphul]

I can't find the article now of course. Having been written in the early days of the internet it is difficult to locate.

I remember reading an article in 2001 shortly after Bush took office, and before 9/11 about how the Chinese estimated that the US had about 15 years before it broke apart.

Things seemed bad in 2001, but not as bad as they seem now. 10 years of Republican scorched earth politics has turned state against state, and group against group. I'm starting to wonder just how accurate China's estimate was.

[can't sit still]

1durphul, there is a Ruski who claims the same thing. We will break into 6 parts.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldne ... dicts.html
Mises correctly predicted the collapse of Russia. I don't put much faith in the Chinese prediction because there are just TOO many variables.... TOO many unknowns. Mises predicted the Russian collapse because they were a "command economy". That is based on a very small number of variables. My crystal ball is cloudy on this one because there are such wildly varying estimates on the amount of oil left in the world.
The world is very integrated. Any crisis that broke up the U.S. would also tend to break up Russia [11 time zones] and China. We just have to wait and see.