What's a Palin
- Simon of the Playa
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- Elderberry
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Well I don't think Tina Fay will be working that one into her act!
Not very PC, but it was funny. Can't believe I had to read the punch line twice before I got it.
JK
Not very PC, but it was funny. Can't believe I had to read the punch line twice before I got it.
JK
Elderberry
When I was a kid I used to pray every night for a new bicycle.
Then I realized that the Lord doesn't work that way so I stole one and asked Him to forgive me
When I was a kid I used to pray every night for a new bicycle.
Then I realized that the Lord doesn't work that way so I stole one and asked Him to forgive me
- DVD Burner
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- Elderberry
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I'm afraid that would have never gotten by the censors.DVD Burner wrote:I've been seeing that joke everywhere.
Is it off an SNL skit? (I have no TV.)
JK
Elderberry
When I was a kid I used to pray every night for a new bicycle.
Then I realized that the Lord doesn't work that way so I stole one and asked Him to forgive me
When I was a kid I used to pray every night for a new bicycle.
Then I realized that the Lord doesn't work that way so I stole one and asked Him to forgive me
- goathead
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And what comes out of our asses will at least compost, given the chance.Simon of the Playa wrote:what is the difference between Sarah Palin's Mouth and her Vagina?
ans: Retarded stuff only comes out of her vagina some of the time.
Hell of a lot more usefull then what comes out of our mouths.
Fuck Your Day.
- Simon of the Playa
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- Simon of the Playa
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- Simon of the Playa
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- Elderberry
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- DVD Burner
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Tuesday, November 4, 2008
Today's Polls and Final Election Projection: Obama 349, McCain 189
http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/11/ ... ction.html
It's Tuesday, November 4th, 2008, Election Day in America. The last polls have straggled in, and show little sign of mercy for John McCain. Barack Obama appears poised for a decisive electoral victory.
Our model projects that Obama will win all states won by John Kerry in 2004, in addition to Iowa, New Mexico, Colorado, Ohio, Virginia, Nevada, Florida and North Carolina, while narrowly losing Missouri and Indiana. These states total 353 electoral votes. Our official projection, which looks at these outcomes probabilistically -- for instance, assigns North Carolina's 15 electoral votes to Obama 59 percent of the time -- comes up with an incrementally more conservative projection of 348.6 electoral votes.
We also project Obama to win the popular vote by 6.1 points; his lead is slightly larger than that in the polls now, but our model accounts for the fact that candidates with large leads in the polls typically underperform their numbers by a small margin on Election Day.
This race appears to have stabilized as of about the time of the second debate in Nashville, Tennessee on October 8th. Since that time, Obama has maintained a national lead of between 6 and 8 points, with little discernible momentum for either candidate. Just as noteworthy is the fact that the number of undecided voters is now very small, representing not much more than 2-3 percent of the electorate. Undecided voters who committed over the past several weeks appear to have broken roughly equally between the two candidates.
Our model forecasts a small third-party vote of between 1 and 2 points total; it is not likely to be a decisive factor in this election except perhaps in Montana, where Ron Paul is on the ballot and may garner 4-5 percent of the vote.
Any forecasting system is only as good as its inputs, and so if the polls are systematically wrong, our projection is subject to error as well. Nevertheless, even as we account for other cycles in which the polling numbers materially missed the national popular vote margin (such as in 1980), a McCain win appears highly unlikely. It is also possible, of course, that the polls are shy in Obama's direction rather than McCain's, in which case a double-digit win is possible.
Nor does McCain appear to have much chance of winning the Electoral College while losing the popular vote; in fact, our model thinks that Obama is slightly more likely to do so. McCain diverted many of his resources to Pennsylvania, a state where he narrowed Obama's margins somewhat, but which our model concludes that Obama is now virtually certain to win. This may have allowed Obama to consolidate his margins in other battleground states, particularly Western states like Colorado and Nevada to which McCain has devoted little recent attention.
Thank you for placing your trust in FiveThirtyEight.com over the course of the past several months. We hope that you will join us both on the website and on HDNet tonight, where I'll be providing election coverage for Dan Rather's team. FiveThirtyEight intends to continue to apply our unique approach to politics after the election, and we hope to have several announcements about our future plans in the coming days and weeks.

Today's Polls and Final Election Projection: Obama 349, McCain 189
http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/11/ ... ction.html
It's Tuesday, November 4th, 2008, Election Day in America. The last polls have straggled in, and show little sign of mercy for John McCain. Barack Obama appears poised for a decisive electoral victory.
Our model projects that Obama will win all states won by John Kerry in 2004, in addition to Iowa, New Mexico, Colorado, Ohio, Virginia, Nevada, Florida and North Carolina, while narrowly losing Missouri and Indiana. These states total 353 electoral votes. Our official projection, which looks at these outcomes probabilistically -- for instance, assigns North Carolina's 15 electoral votes to Obama 59 percent of the time -- comes up with an incrementally more conservative projection of 348.6 electoral votes.
We also project Obama to win the popular vote by 6.1 points; his lead is slightly larger than that in the polls now, but our model accounts for the fact that candidates with large leads in the polls typically underperform their numbers by a small margin on Election Day.
This race appears to have stabilized as of about the time of the second debate in Nashville, Tennessee on October 8th. Since that time, Obama has maintained a national lead of between 6 and 8 points, with little discernible momentum for either candidate. Just as noteworthy is the fact that the number of undecided voters is now very small, representing not much more than 2-3 percent of the electorate. Undecided voters who committed over the past several weeks appear to have broken roughly equally between the two candidates.
Our model forecasts a small third-party vote of between 1 and 2 points total; it is not likely to be a decisive factor in this election except perhaps in Montana, where Ron Paul is on the ballot and may garner 4-5 percent of the vote.
Any forecasting system is only as good as its inputs, and so if the polls are systematically wrong, our projection is subject to error as well. Nevertheless, even as we account for other cycles in which the polling numbers materially missed the national popular vote margin (such as in 1980), a McCain win appears highly unlikely. It is also possible, of course, that the polls are shy in Obama's direction rather than McCain's, in which case a double-digit win is possible.
Nor does McCain appear to have much chance of winning the Electoral College while losing the popular vote; in fact, our model thinks that Obama is slightly more likely to do so. McCain diverted many of his resources to Pennsylvania, a state where he narrowed Obama's margins somewhat, but which our model concludes that Obama is now virtually certain to win. This may have allowed Obama to consolidate his margins in other battleground states, particularly Western states like Colorado and Nevada to which McCain has devoted little recent attention.
Thank you for placing your trust in FiveThirtyEight.com over the course of the past several months. We hope that you will join us both on the website and on HDNet tonight, where I'll be providing election coverage for Dan Rather's team. FiveThirtyEight intends to continue to apply our unique approach to politics after the election, and we hope to have several announcements about our future plans in the coming days and weeks.

https://www.facebook.com/NeXTCODER
- Simon of the Playa
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the big question i have for sarah and the religious right is, WHERE IS YOUR GOD NOW, BITCH?
i guess he's not listening to your prayers anymore, huh.
i'm sorry, but i just cant do the humble winner thing here, a dumb cunt is a dumb cunt is a dumb cunt.
but i do appreciate all of your help in electing democrats, why dont you keep the dresses, honey.
(there, Happy Littleflower?, is that enough snark to get you thru the day? i hope so, even i feel a little dirty after that one)
i guess he's not listening to your prayers anymore, huh.
i'm sorry, but i just cant do the humble winner thing here, a dumb cunt is a dumb cunt is a dumb cunt.
but i do appreciate all of your help in electing democrats, why dont you keep the dresses, honey.
(there, Happy Littleflower?, is that enough snark to get you thru the day? i hope so, even i feel a little dirty after that one)
Frida Be You & Me
- littleflower
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- ygmir
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feel dirty? I can't imagine that one..........grinning.........Simon of the Playa wrote:the big question i have for sarah and the religious right is, WHERE IS YOUR GOD NOW, BITCH?
i guess he's not listening to your prayers anymore, huh.
i'm sorry, but i just cant do the humble winner thing here, a dumb cunt is a dumb cunt is a dumb cunt.
but i do appreciate all of your help in electing democrats, why dont you keep the dresses, honey.
(there, Happy Littleflower?, is that enough snark to get you thru the day? i hope so, even i feel a little dirty after that one)
revel in your victory, of course.
But, if people on the right give you what you've given them, accept it as you required them..........IMHO.
Of course, I believe in your right to do as you damn well please.
now,
who's got the flash powder for the one upsmanship of "Crude Awakenings"..........?
YGMIR
Unabashed Nordic
Pagan
Unabashed Nordic
Pagan
- Elderberry
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ROTFLMFAO!!!Simon of the Playa wrote:the big question i have for sarah and the religious right is, WHERE IS YOUR GOD NOW, BITCH?
i guess he's not listening to your prayers anymore, huh.
i'm sorry, but i just cant do the humble winner thing here, a dumb cunt is a dumb cunt is a dumb cunt.
but i do appreciate all of your help in electing democrats, why dont you keep the dresses, honey.
(there, Happy Littleflower?, is that enough snark to get you thru the day? i hope so, even i feel a little dirty after that one)
JK
Elderberry
When I was a kid I used to pray every night for a new bicycle.
Then I realized that the Lord doesn't work that way so I stole one and asked Him to forgive me
When I was a kid I used to pray every night for a new bicycle.
Then I realized that the Lord doesn't work that way so I stole one and asked Him to forgive me
- Simon of the Playa
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- Kinetik V
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Open Discussion -> What's a Palin?
Answer: 1: A historical footnote. 2: John McCain's excuse for failing to get the job done (ie: she went ROGUE! OMG!) 3: A wanna be Hillary Clinton that clearly let the nation know she wasn't in the same league. 4: The name of some poor kid in Knoxville, TN that was partly named after her. Imagine going through school named after the team that CHOKED while running for the highest office in the land. 5: Top "hottie" poster bought at Wal-Mart stores in Arkansas for the last 5 weeks. 6: Wanna be Fashionista that wouldn't know cool if you tossed her a 10 lb bag of ice.
I'm glad to wake up this morning and know Joe Biden's sitting there as our VP-Elect instead of Sarah Palin. She needs to go back to Alaska and run for Sen. Stevens seat when the Senate tosses him out...she's good enough to do that, but is not qualified to be the VP.
Answer: 1: A historical footnote. 2: John McCain's excuse for failing to get the job done (ie: she went ROGUE! OMG!) 3: A wanna be Hillary Clinton that clearly let the nation know she wasn't in the same league. 4: The name of some poor kid in Knoxville, TN that was partly named after her. Imagine going through school named after the team that CHOKED while running for the highest office in the land. 5: Top "hottie" poster bought at Wal-Mart stores in Arkansas for the last 5 weeks. 6: Wanna be Fashionista that wouldn't know cool if you tossed her a 10 lb bag of ice.
I'm glad to wake up this morning and know Joe Biden's sitting there as our VP-Elect instead of Sarah Palin. She needs to go back to Alaska and run for Sen. Stevens seat when the Senate tosses him out...she's good enough to do that, but is not qualified to be the VP.
Kinetic V
~~~~~~
I bring order to chaos. And I bring chaos to those who deserve it, wherever that may be.
~~~~~~
I bring order to chaos. And I bring chaos to those who deserve it, wherever that may be.
- Elderberry
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No, she is not. There are already too many bible thumping ignoramuses congress as it is; we don't need even one more.Kinetic V wrote:Open Discussion -> She needs to go back to Alaska and run for Sen. Stevens seat when the Senate tosses him out...she's good enough to do that, but is not qualified to be the VP.
JK
Elderberry
When I was a kid I used to pray every night for a new bicycle.
Then I realized that the Lord doesn't work that way so I stole one and asked Him to forgive me
When I was a kid I used to pray every night for a new bicycle.
Then I realized that the Lord doesn't work that way so I stole one and asked Him to forgive me
- unjonharley
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- Elderberry
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I think the way that works is that she would have to resign as Governor, then when the Lieutenant Governor takes over as Governor, he could then appoint her. There is some law preventing a Governor from self-appointing.unjonharley wrote:When Stevens go's down. Palin gets to appoint. She "can" appoint herself.
JK
Elderberry
When I was a kid I used to pray every night for a new bicycle.
Then I realized that the Lord doesn't work that way so I stole one and asked Him to forgive me
When I was a kid I used to pray every night for a new bicycle.
Then I realized that the Lord doesn't work that way so I stole one and asked Him to forgive me
- Captain Goddammit
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- Captain Goddammit
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