How is this possible?
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bluesbob
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- Camp Name: AV
- Location: Fullerton, CA.
How is this possible?
We have hundreds of camps, each with anywhere from a dozen to 100+ members.
We have a lottery with random selection.
Distribution should show a LOT of variance. Some camps might get 30% of the tickets they need. Other camps might get 75% of the tickets they need. There might be some that received 0%, and some that got 100% notifications. The distribution should be all over the place, anywhere from 0% to 100%
Instead, as everyone is finding out, and even the Borg reported this....dozens of camps are all showing 20-25% It seems the rest are even lower.
My camp is at 15%
This is not only very very odd...but its a mathematical improbability.
WTF happened?
We have a lottery with random selection.
Distribution should show a LOT of variance. Some camps might get 30% of the tickets they need. Other camps might get 75% of the tickets they need. There might be some that received 0%, and some that got 100% notifications. The distribution should be all over the place, anywhere from 0% to 100%
Instead, as everyone is finding out, and even the Borg reported this....dozens of camps are all showing 20-25% It seems the rest are even lower.
My camp is at 15%
This is not only very very odd...but its a mathematical improbability.
WTF happened?
"aw shucks.." - Eric
- The CO
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Re: How is this possible?
Something something infinite number of monkeys something observing a quantum waveform snorezzzzzzzzzzzzz...................
M*A*S*H 4207th: An army of fun.
I don't care what the borg says: feather-wearers will NOT be served in Rosie's Bar.
When I ask how many burns, I mean at BRC.
I don't care what the borg says: feather-wearers will NOT be served in Rosie's Bar.
When I ask how many burns, I mean at BRC.
- graidawg
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Re: How is this possible?
ITS FUCKING MAGIC ALRIGHT. JUST LIKE THE FACT YOU MISSED THE OTHER THREADS ABOUT THEME CAMPS THAT SAY EXACTLY THE SAME THING
OR THIS IS A JOKE RIGHT? THIS IS A JOKE ISNT IT BECAUSE THIS IS THE 4th TICKET RELATED THREAD TO BE STARTED IN THE LAST 10 MINUTES ON A SUBJECT THAT IS WELL COVERED SO IT MUST BE A JOKE RIGHT? BECAUSE BURNES ARENT STUPID ARE THEY ?
SO ITS A JOKE CLEARLY
OR THIS IS A JOKE RIGHT? THIS IS A JOKE ISNT IT BECAUSE THIS IS THE 4th TICKET RELATED THREAD TO BE STARTED IN THE LAST 10 MINUTES ON A SUBJECT THAT IS WELL COVERED SO IT MUST BE A JOKE RIGHT? BECAUSE BURNES ARENT STUPID ARE THEY ?
SO ITS A JOKE CLEARLY
FREE THE SHERPAS
Burners with torches is right and natural and just.-fishy.
CATCH AND RELEASE.
Burners with torches is right and natural and just.-fishy.
CATCH AND RELEASE.
- The CO
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Re: How is this possible?
Grai, when I read that and add in your charming Croydon accent, it sounds 100x better! I love you!
M*A*S*H 4207th: An army of fun.
I don't care what the borg says: feather-wearers will NOT be served in Rosie's Bar.
When I ask how many burns, I mean at BRC.
I don't care what the borg says: feather-wearers will NOT be served in Rosie's Bar.
When I ask how many burns, I mean at BRC.
- vargaso
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Re: How is this possible?
Prolly time to log off the boards dude, ha.
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bluesbob
- Posts: 591
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- Camp Name: AV
- Location: Fullerton, CA.
Re: How is this possible?
I apologize. I wasn't aware of three things.
1. Only certain people are allowed to post on a topic.
2. It's proper etiquette to go through 1000 posts on the off-hand chance one may say something related to your thought.
3. That I must practice my psychic power so I'll know in which thread I will have to read those 1000 posts.
Thank you...you may return to being sanctimonious and egotistical.
1. Only certain people are allowed to post on a topic.
2. It's proper etiquette to go through 1000 posts on the off-hand chance one may say something related to your thought.
3. That I must practice my psychic power so I'll know in which thread I will have to read those 1000 posts.
Thank you...you may return to being sanctimonious and egotistical.
"aw shucks.." - Eric
Re: How is this possible?
I posted my theory here in The Missing Ticket Mystery.
http://eplaya.burningman.org/viewtopic. ... 90&t=53888
http://eplaya.burningman.org/viewtopic. ... 90&t=53888
*** The Burning Man Survival Guide ***
"I must've lost it when I was twerking at the trash fence." -- BBadger
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"I must've lost it when I was twerking at the trash fence." -- BBadger
"Snark away, ePlaya, you magnificent bastards." -- McStrangle
Re: How is this possible?
You can't math.
That is all.
(No it isn't: there is a global 30% success rate at obtaining tickets in the lottery. Everybody had approx. a 30% chance of winning a ticket. This is why you're seeing almost universal reports of 30% success.)
That is all.
(No it isn't: there is a global 30% success rate at obtaining tickets in the lottery. Everybody had approx. a 30% chance of winning a ticket. This is why you're seeing almost universal reports of 30% success.)
- International Incident
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Re: How is this possible?
Really? Really? You think that it was worth posting about your 15% and that it is impossible... if it is impossible then how did it happen. And if you are going to post it means you wanted a response...bluesbob wrote:I apologize. I wasn't aware of three things.
1. Only certain people are allowed to post on a topic.
2. It's proper etiquette to go through 1000 posts on the off-hand chance one may say something related to your thought.
3. That I must practice my psychic power so I'll know in which thread I will have to read those 1000 posts.
Thank you...you may return to being sanctimonious and egotistical.
And yes I reckon it would have taken you about 5 mins to work out that lots of people are saying the same thing - so why start a whole new thread.
And yes I am a bit pissed at you right now.
- graidawg
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Re: How is this possible?
ok i promised i would stay off the ticket threads but this deserves answering.bluesbob wrote:I apologize. I wasn't aware of three things.
1. Only certain people are allowed to post on a topic.
2. It's proper etiquette to go through 1000 posts on the off-hand chance one may say something related to your thought.
3. That I must practice my psychic power so I'll know in which thread I will have to read those 1000 posts.
Thank you...you may return to being sanctimonious and egotistical.
1 anyone can post on a topic. but stupid posts get mocked we usually wait for the second page but most ticket conspiracy threads dont get that far
2 yes yes it is or you could read the thread titles and have a guess its not that difficult
3 well you did to get this infomation
so thanks for the permisson to be sanctimonious and egotistical i shall continue to use itbluesbob wrote:Instead, as everyone is finding out, and even the Borg reported this....dozens of camps are all showing 20-25% It seems the rest are even lower.
FREE THE SHERPAS
Burners with torches is right and natural and just.-fishy.
CATCH AND RELEASE.
Burners with torches is right and natural and just.-fishy.
CATCH AND RELEASE.
Re: How is this possible?
Melanie. Calm down. We don't have to pay for eplaya per topic, and it isn't like there is any relevant information here that you're suddenly missing out on because of this topic.
*Mad* at somebody? For posting to a forum? Go take the dog for a walk or play with the kids or go smile at somebody or something.
*Mad* at somebody? For posting to a forum? Go take the dog for a walk or play with the kids or go smile at somebody or something.
- International Incident
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Re: How is this possible?
Noted.. I am being obnoxious. And it is intentional. My level of obnoxiousness rises in direct correlation with the posts that set my teeth on edge.gibson_ wrote:Melanie. Calm down. We don't have to pay for eplaya per topic, and it isn't like there is any relevant information here that you're suddenly missing out on because of this topic.
*Mad* at somebody? For posting to a forum? Go take the dog for a walk or play with the kids or go smile at somebody or something.
I am going to go and build my art project and have some lunch
Much love to all
Re: How is this possible?
Croyden is shit... FACTGrai, when I read that and add in your charming Croydon accent, it sounds 100x better! I love you!
Dawg-man, can we camp with you this year? Your funny
313
Go Tigers!
Go Tigers!
Re: How is this possible?
It's not a joke, but if you want to keep from viewing threads such as those about tickets, click heregraidawg wrote:ITS FUCKING MAGIC ALRIGHT. JUST LIKE THE FACT YOU MISSED THE OTHER THREADS ABOUT THEME CAMPS THAT SAY EXACTLY THE SAME THING
OR THIS IS A JOKE RIGHT? THIS IS A JOKE ISNT IT BECAUSE THIS IS THE 4th TICKET RELATED THREAD TO BE STARTED IN THE LAST 10 MINUTES ON A SUBJECT THAT IS WELL COVERED SO IT MUST BE A JOKE RIGHT? BECAUSE BURNES ARENT STUPID ARE THEY ?
SO ITS A JOKE CLEARLY
The camp with a difference
Never mind the weather
When you camp with Plug & Ply
Your holiday's forever
Never mind the weather
When you camp with Plug & Ply
Your holiday's forever
Re: How is this possible?
I don't have a personal stake in this nor was I offended by your post. However, ePlaya does not function smoothly when people create new threads on topics that have been well hashed in other threads. If everyone did that, there would be 1,000 threads all of the same stuff and be impossible to follow and lots of cross-posting. There is an implicit organization to the forums.bluesbob wrote:I apologize. I wasn't aware of three things.
1. Only certain people are allowed to post on a topic.
2. It's proper etiquette to go through 1000 posts on the off-hand chance one may say something related to your thought.
3. That I must practice my psychic power so I'll know in which thread I will have to read those 1000 posts.
Thank you...you may return to being sanctimonious and egotistical.
A real world equivalent, would be if you walked into a political meeting half-way through, whose focus is on how to raise tax revenues to avoid a budget cut, and you declare in a loud voice "Hey has anyone considered raising taxes to avoid the budget cut?" Its not only redundant and annoying but also inconsiderate to those who have spend the last 2 hours discussing just that topic. So yes, it is better to at least peruse the titles of the posts to make sure that something so elemental and obvious hasn't already been covered
- EspressoDude
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Re: How is this possible?
easy fix: log on to eplaya; select the TICKETS category; in the upper right corner click on MARK TOPICS READ; then go back to main index; then unread posts.
the list goes magically from five pages to less than one...
the list goes magically from five pages to less than one...
Is 4 shots enuff? no foo-foo drinks; just naked Espresso
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FOGBANK, GOD OF HELLFIRE
BLACK ROCK f/x Trojan Horse,Anubis,2014Temple
burn shit and blow shit up
Tactical Espresso Service http://home.comcast.net/~espressocamp/
Field Artillery Tractor
FOGBANK, GOD OF HELLFIRE
BLACK ROCK f/x Trojan Horse,Anubis,2014Temple
burn shit and blow shit up
- BBadger
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Re: How is this possible?
You mentioned the term variance. There is your answer.
"The essence of tyranny is not iron law. It is capricious law." -- Christopher Hitchens
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Re: How is this possible?
Jesus fucking Christ on a crutch! Why all the fucking sand in the vagina?
Blusebob, yes it's fucking weird. Leads me to speculate that scalpers went in big. It appears that there was at least a 4:1 over subscription.
To the rest of you playa booger unwashed, fuck off with some rusty rebar.
BB can post all he wants.
Blusebob, yes it's fucking weird. Leads me to speculate that scalpers went in big. It appears that there was at least a 4:1 over subscription.
To the rest of you playa booger unwashed, fuck off with some rusty rebar.
BB can post all he wants.