A local attorney offers some solid suggestions to the Democrats on how to respond to Bush.
Chris:
It was good to see you at the stump speech last night. I invite you to lunch to catch up.
Since you are county chairman for the Democrat party, I'd like to cry on your shoulder a bit. Like a growing number of Americans, I always vote, find no home in either major party, but desperately want an alternative to the Counterfeit Presidency. I guess I am one of those who would choose a cantaloupe over the current administration. It is frustrating that the Kerry/Edwards campaign seems unable to engage Bush/Cheney on any substantive issues or character. Edwards' speech last night was almost... neutral. You guys will never win unless and until you get tough.
The Democrats have allowed the Republicans to define the key issue this election cycle as homeland security. Kerry/Edwards can run with that, but should not limit the discourse to Iran and North Korea. (This just buttresses Bush's "Axis of Evil" speech.) Instead, turn every issue -- including "domestic" issues into a security issue.
Economy.
Budget deficits. The Bush Administration has breached the Contract with America. Why not point out that Democrats agreed with the Gingrich acolytes that the nation must balance its budget? Point out that this Administration has not reduced government, it has borrowed money to engorge government programs to help the wealthy and buy votes. This Administration's fiscal policy will not have much of an effect in four years, but will be devastating in the medium and long term. Remember how the Vietnam War deficits created inflation in the 1970s and 1980s? Guess what is coming now? And that's if we're lucky. A more likely scenario is to relive the pain wrought by another great Republican, Herbert Hoover.
Bush/Cheney constantly herald the "tax cut" as some form of Libertarian, free-market, get government off our backs reform. This is bullshit. It is not a tax cut at all, but is rather a tax deferral. If Bush/Cheney continue to spend without paying for it, that is in effect a tax increase on future generations. Remember Bush say that he would never do anything to burden future generations? How do you think the budget deficits square with that statement? I guess that would be a "flip-flop," discussed further below.
So, here are a few simple political themes that should not be ignored:
National security. The mounting budget deficit is the most critical long-term security challenge this country faces. More than 40 percent of our debt is held by foreign countries and foreign investors. We are quickly placing our security in the hands of countries like China. Imagine a showdown over Taiwan. Do you really think China will engage our twelve aircraft carrier battle groups in a battle for Taiwan? No way. China will simply say, "Give us back our province or we will call your notes." And if China or any other major holder of our debt refuses to continue lending money, or demands higher interest rates, this will challenge our national security in a much larger way than an attack on a building full of stock brokers.
With the artificially-supressed interest rates today, about 14% of federal tax revenues pay interest on the past debt. Even if there are no more budget deficits, if interest rates are at 18% (as in the 1970s), the interest payments will consume 100% of federal tax revenues. So every budget deficit has a double-whammy: it both increases the total debt to be financed and raises interest rates.
So why don't we have a color-coded alert system for our economy? How come the security "threat" assessment doesn't even consider our national financial security? Because, according to the renowned economist Richard Cheney, deficits don't matter. Alan Greenspan (in his subdued style) said last week that we need to get the budget deficit under control right now. The Administration won't even listen to the Prince of the Goldwater Republicans? Kerry/Edwards should jump all over this one.
Political punch line. For national security reasons, I'd rather have a "tax-and-spend" president than a "borrow-and-spend" president any day of the week.
Character attack. There is a reason why Bush doesn't understand the problem with budget deficits: Bush is a child of privilege, who never had to deal with the consequences of his business failures. He never went bankrupt because he ran up credit card debt, because Poppy and Kenny-Boy were always there to save him with a new job, a professional baseball franchise, or a stolen election.[FN2] Bush will never appreciate the damage that he is doing with his budget deficits because links between fiscal irresponsibility and consequences do not exist in his world.
Trade deficits. Kerry/Edwards hit on the "outsourcing" of jobs a bit, but never really explain the fundamental flaws with the concept of free global markets or the impact on national security.
National security. America is not just exporting jobs, it is completely losing its manufacturing base. Isn't it obvious what this does to our national security? We are losing the ability to build airplanes, armored vehicles, guns, and even electronics that are so vital to fighting a real war. But more important, we are becoming more dependent on other countries to provide our basic needs for food, shelter, and clothing. Again, we are setting ourselves up to lose a war without firing a shot.
Political punch line. The Bush doctrine is to "go it alone." But the Bush reality is to make us more dependent on other countries for our basic needs and our defense. Would it not be better to negotiate treaties from a position of strength and mutual trust than to beg for goods from other countries? (I really like the concept that Bush is setting us up to be beggers to the rest of the world. I think it is powerful and true.)
Environment and energy policy.
National security. Global warming is not a theory, it is a scientific fact. (See this month's National Geographic for an excellent summary of this fact.) And it is a much more important threat to our national security than Islamic terrorism. See P. Schwartz and D. Randall, An Abrupt Climate Change Scenario and Its Implications for United States National Security (attached). In this October 2003 report commissioned by the Bush Administration's Department of Defense, the writers summarize how global warming will generate massive human migrations and battles for food and other resources. (The report says that climate change will probably be gradual, but that rapid change is possible. However, objective measurements taken over the past several years suggest that the climate is changing much faster than anyone expected.)
The Bush Administration's "policy" is to ignore even the most modest proposals to reduce our CO2 emissions, such as the Kyoto Protocol. In fact, our government actively subsidizes the worst environmental practices imaginable. We subsidize gasoline production directly and indirectly (through federal highway construction and the defense budget). We have a 100% tax credit to buy Hummers and other SUVs over three tons. (And only the super-wealthy can take advantage of these credits.) We keep building more freeways to subsidize urban sprawl to put everyone into cars, but refuse to spend much on mass transit. We subsidize coal mining and burning, which generates both CO2 and sulpher dioxide.
The Bush Administration's plan to reduce dependency on foreign oil is all about drilling at home and subsidizing construction of more nuclear plants.[FN1] This is extremely short-sighted and ignores the longer-term national security implications of environmental carnage. We subsidize the hell out of everything except renewable energy. How does that square with national security concerns?
Political Punch Line. The Bush Administration ignores the link between global warming and our national security. The Bush Administration's solution to our environmental and energy quagmire is to keep on burning fossil fuels... just get the oil from the good old boys in Houston instead of the Persian Gulf. That should work... for about 15 years.
Military. This Administration is guilty of at least two military policies that are contrary to our national security. First, American taxpayers are asked to pay defense contractors on a cost-plus basis to design new weapons. The defense contractors take on absolutely no risk that the research and development will result in profits. Then, the defense contractor gets to build the weapon, again on a cost-plus basis to avoid any risk. But here's the rub: the American people evidently don't own the design. The defense contractors are more or less free to sell the weapons to other "friendly" countries, which are then free to sell the weapons to "unfriendly" countries, with the result that American taxpayers are asked again to pay for a brand new design to keep ahead of our enemies on military technology. For example, justification for building a new generation of fighter jet (the relevance of which is waning) is not because Al Queda, Iran, and North Korea are designing and building better fighters, it is because these Axis of Evil states can buy our fighter jets. Duh. How is this not a national security threat? How can this Administration not see the issue and decide that we won't allow taxpayer-funded military designs to be sold to other governments. How come Kerry/Edwards won't articulate this problem? Is it because they are too afraid to move the gravy train away from Lockheed-Martin, Boeing, Grumman, etc?
Our treatment of military personnel is a matter of grave concern for anyone interested in the more immediate threat to our national security. Rumsfeld has mostly ruined the National Guard by leaning so heavily on it in Iraq. Men and women with families are losing jobs (notwithstanding federal law that is supposed to protect jobs during active duty) and their homes. Active duty personnel on the ground in Iraq are grumbling about the logistical incompetence, the lack of well-defined military objectives, and broken promises about the conditions of service. How can this not be a threat to national security?
Assault weapons ban. Come on folks! The assault weapons ban was enacted because of an attempt on the life of President Reagan, one-time hero of the Republican Party (pre-Ralph Reed, of course). How can this not be an issue of national security? This Administration is proposing national identity cards, intense airport screening, and sealing the borders, but it is OK to buy automatic rifles and ammunition? Guess what? You don't need a shoulder-mounted rocket to take down a jet liner. Take-off speed for a 747 (like Air Force One) is only 150 mph. A couple of guys sitting at the edge of the runway (e.g. Peckham Lane) with automatic rifles could easily find the gas tanks on a 747 and bring it down! But this is not a security threat?
I guess in my book, the end of the ban on assault weapons would cause Mr. Ridge's color code system to go up a notch.
The big flip-flop. The Bush handlers have managed to paint Kerry as a "flip-flopper" and contrasted this with Bush's self-proclaimed "decisiveness." Why can't Kerry/Edwards articulate why this is bullshit? Bush has flip-flopped on dozens of key issues. Why can't the Kerry/Edwards campaign go back through the C-Span archives and put together a string of changes in direction by Bush? Hell, The Daily Show identifies at least one "flip-flop" by the Bush Administration every week. Take the battle to the intellectual terrorists, Bush/Cheney! Here are a few examples:
Mr. Bush's broken promise to retire $2 trillion of the national debt;
Mr. Bush’s broken promise not to spend the Social Security surplus;
Mr. Bush’s violation of his alleged free trade principles by imposing tariffs on imported steel and then his lifting of those same tariffs;
Mr. Bush’s inconsistent position on stem cells and the destruction of human embryos;
Mr. Bush’s opposition to and then support of a cabinet level Homeland Security Department;
Mr. Bush’s broken promise on control of carbon dioxide emissions;
Mr. Bush’s ever changing position of negotiations with North Korea;
Mr. Bush’s waffling between a policy of disarmament and a policy of regime change in Iraq;
Mr. Bush’s reneging on a promise to fully fund the Low Income Home Energy Assistance program (LIHEAP);
Mr. Bush's positions on Taiwan are ever-shifting and incoherent ("Incoherent" is a powerful word that Bush/Cheney has been using against Kerry... and Kerry won't fight back); and
Mr. Bush’s flip flop on apologizing to China when China forced a US spy plane to land without permission.
Mr. Bush’s flip flop on the abortion issue. Mr. Bush once said that the abortion issue should be left up to the woman and her doctor. Now, of course, Mr. Bush claims to be pro-life.
Mr. Bush's flip flop on the McCain-Feingold. During the 2000 campaign he was for it. Once in office, he was against it.
On gay marriage, Bush initially took the states right approach, responding “the state can do what they want to do.” Now, of course, Mr. Bush demands a constitutional amendment to bar the states from taking action in what has always been a matter of local control.
Bush can't make up his mind on affirmative action. When the University of Michigan affirmative action cases were before the Supreme Court, the Bush administration filed a brief opposing the programs. Mr. Bush said that the “method used by the University of Michigan …is fundamentally flawed." After the Supreme Court upheld the law school admissions program and reaffirmed that race can be one criterion in such decisions, Mr. Bush said he was “happy the nation's highest court recognized the value of diversity.”
There are more examples. You don't need a huge research staff to connect these dots. Why can't Kerry/Edwards and the Democratic party get the job done?
The emperor has no brain. The Bush/Cheney lies, the Bush/Cheney class war, and the Bush/Cheney crony capitalism are all easy enough to identify and attack. I think it is also possible and wise to attack the Mr. Bush's competence. He actually said we need tort reform because "OB/GYNs can no longer practice their love for women." Come on. You want to win the women voters back to your party?
And on the subject of women, I recently a bumper sticker that says, "'W' stands for women." In what way, I wonder. I think the record suggests otherwise. Certainly on reproductive rights, reducing employment opportunities, affirmative action, and health care issues, "W" definitely does not stand for women. Why isn't this a campaign theme when women voters are so critical to the election this time.
"W" stands for.... If Bush wants to play with silly word games, why not accomodate him. What does "W" really stand for?
"W" stands for WALL STREET.
"W" stands for WAR.
"W" stands for WAFFLE (see "flip-flop" above)
"W" stands for WORRY (if you don't vote for me, you will slaughtered by the Muslims)
"W" stands for WHITEWASH (in the case of Bush's "youthful indiscretions," business failings, links to Enron and Halliburton, flip-flops -- see above)
"W" stands for WASTED (as in our children's birthright, government dollars spent on the military build-up, opportunities to form strategic alliances, opportunities to address environmental issues, and the Clinton budget surplus)
"W" stands for WASTED (as in George W. Bush's state of intoxication during the Yale years, and even the cocaine binges at Camp David during Poppy's reign of error)
"W" stands for WAMBLY. (1. unsteady, shaky, staggering, or realling. 2. feeling nausea; nauseated.)
"W" stands for WANGLE. (1. to bring about by persuasion, influence, manipulation, contrivance. 2. to manipulate or change for a selfish or dishonest purpose, as statistics; falsify; juggle. 3. to wiggle or wriggle)
"W" stands for WORK WANTED sign at the edge of a freeway offramp.
"W" stands for WHOPPER.
"W" stands for WHACK JOB.
"W" stands for WAGE TAXES.
"W" stands for WALKING PAPERS.
"W" stands for WAHABI. (Ok, not really.)
Anyway, you get the idea. Just buy a cheap dictionary and have some fun.
Conclusions.
So, Chris, there it is: my 12-step program to re-defeat Bush. I hope your party can get it together in time to extricate us from the most disastrous presidency of my lifetime.
Have a nice day. Please call me for lunch. 786-8000.
Best regards,
Mike
[FN1] I think there is some merit to building nuclear plants, provided that we use breeder reactors like France. The breeder reactor extracts more energy from the uranium, and creates much less waste -- obviating the need to bury the waste. France reprocesses the material so that it need not be buried. I understand (from my friend, Steve Mestre, that the Carter Administration banned breeder reactors on the ground that they can create weapons-grade uranium. But I also understand that it is now possible to enrich uranium with lasers, so banning breeder reactors no longer limits weapons-grade uranium. I also understand that pebble bed reactors can be air-cooled, making them a good candidate to generate power were there is no water available.... like the arid portions of Nevada. This may not be a final solution to our rapacious energy consumption, but it seems like a possible bridge technology while we get some real renewable resources online.
[FN2] On my way to see the Edwards speech last night, a bunch of bloated frat boys (wearing what were evidently intended to represent giant flip-flops -- we called them thongs in my youth) confronted me, my wife, and two daughters and directed us to the "Second-place convention." I quietly turned and noted out loud that Bush/Cheney came in second-place last election, and they are nevertheless in the White House. I don't understand why Kerry/Edwards and the Democratic party is so reluctant to repeat that Bush/Cheney lost the popular vote by one half million votes, and then stole the electoral delegates from Florida by illegally disenfranchising fifty thousand Democrats. This Administration is turning our country into a banana republic on the environment, economy, voting rights....
Reply to:
Michael D. Hoy
Bible Hoy & Trachok
201 West Liberty Street, Third Floor
Reno, Nevada 89501
775.786.8000 x 102 (voice)
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