Mofessor wrote: A Jester wrote:
Mofessor wrote:All along the way there are people who have said, "don't worry, it will all be fine." A "few" people might apply for more tickets than they need. A "few" people might have enough extra $$$ to purchase extra tickets. A "few" burners might get their shit together and register for the lottery.
Every step along the way they've been wrong, but they continue with the BMORG party line. How very Rumsfeldian.
Care to post some evidence of these multiple people saying those four things? Or was this just a Fox News style "some people say" sort of thing?
(sorry couldn't resist turning that table on you)
here's what I dug up in about 15 minutes, I'm sure you can find more:
The main sale is structured so that even if there's a stronger than usual increase in ticket demand, there should still be enough tickets to go around (trilobyte)
You are right, this statement was not a good predictor.
That's great that you and your friend are not only down with hoarding, but that you're in a spot where you can both tie up all that extra money until sometime in June (well the hoarding bit's not great). I don't see the rest of the Burning Man community being in that kind of situation, both from the paranoia standpoint and the financial standpoint. (trilobyte)
woohoo that you guys can all spare twice as much cash for tickets (they won't be fulfilled until June, don't expect the ability to transfer will call tix before fulfillment happens), but I don't think the majority of participants feel the same way you do (or are in the same financial situation). (trilobyte)
These might be wrong, is there a way to know how much of the community has hoarded and how much of the community has only purchased their regular amount?
.5 point each.
the "lotto" is nothing more than just a panic attack because in the end we will all get a ticket (mamachicken32)
so, MamaChicken is saying we'll all get tickets. I think we have another six months before we can be sure if Mama is wrong.
I am just realistic enough to know that with 40,000 tickets on sale in the main drawing the likelihood of getting one is pretty damn high. (Eric)
Again, we have yet to see what the likelihood of anyone getting a ticket is. I'm not sure what you (or Eric) calls "High", would 75% be "high"?
I'm betting that there'll be a glut of T3 tickets from the main sale adding to that as well. This may be even more than were available for sale at that time last year. (bbadger)
Hey, you got one!
There will be plenty of tickets to go around. (TT120)
Again, vague and hard to disprove until people actually can't get into the event.
if by some small chance you don't get in on a couple of those 40,000 tickets available, you'll have to try in March, when there's a remote chance that those will sell out before you buy yours (Davoid)
I guess Davoid was wrong overall, we'll have to see if his March predictions were totally off, too.
So, you're at 3.5/8 I'd say you have a worse rate of assessing things in the past than these people do of making assumptions about things in the future.
If you really think that the BMORG is some evil cabal of liars, why go to the event? Shouldn't you stop supporting them? Maybe start your own "We're not dicks and we're honest" event?